Predicting the unpredictable is not easy (but in Focus we give you some scientific advice). And it's almost impossible in the case of the supernenalotto. The chances of winning at the Superenalotto, guessing 6 numbers out of 90 drawn at random, are very low: one out of 622.614.630. It is more likely to receive money at an ATM by entering a random number: 1 in 90, 000.
How to challenge the impossible? For those who want to try their luck anyway, there is a foresight that, in the remote case of winning, would increase the amount: bet on the less popular numbers among bettors. When they come out, these numbers guarantee - in theory - a high jackpot, to be divided with fewer players.
The most played numbers are those related to dates, birth or other events (from 1 to 31 for days, and from 1 to 12 for months). "To these are added the sestines that are obtained by drawing lines or figures on the ticket (eg diagonals and columns) and the combination 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6", says Valeria Carbone, Sisal's game designer manager.
Jackpot. «The three most played combinations are: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6; 7, 22, 37, 52, 67, 82 (column on the ticket); 13, 27, 41, 55, 69, 83 (diagonal). The most played numbers of all are 8, 3, 7, 9, 11, 5, 19, 10, 12, 90 ». And the least played numbers ? "They are 46, 59, 79, 32, 60, 34, 76, 78, 62, 61, " Carbone replies. Those hoping for a high jackpot must bet on them. Although, to tell the truth, in the 3 highest Superenalotto winnings (from € 139 to € 177 million) out of 18 numbers drawn by only one, 79, is on the list of the least played.
Beautiful and impossible . Of all the games of chance, the Supernalotto is one of the richest, but it is also the one with the lowest probability of winning: lotto, poker, roulette and Scratch Card are much more generous.
1 out of 43, 949, 268
it is the probability of guessing a dry five in the lot.
1 out of 649.739
is the probability of having a royal flush on the first hand (ie a five card scale of the same suit) at the poker game.
1 of 38
is the probability of winning at roulette by betting on just one number.
from 1 out of 15 to around 1 out of 7
are the odds of winning at Scratch & Win, depending on the coupon purchased.
An unfair game . A game of chance is defined as fair when there is a prize that depends on the probability of winning. In tossing a coin, the probability of guessing whether head or tails will come out is 1 in 2. The game is fair if betting one euro can win two. In all other cases the game is unbalanced, usually in favor of the bank. In the Superenalotto each bet costs 0.5 euros and helps to win with 5 possible combinations 6, 5 + 1, 5, 4 and 3. Each chance of winning has therefore an incidence of 0.1 € on the cost of the bet. The Superenalotto becomes a fair game when the prize for the 6 is at least 622.614.630 x 0.1 €, that is 62.261.463 €.